the trend line

Notes from Mike on scales, food, and the long haul. The boring truth, published weekly. Mike is very excited about it.

Scale July 8, 2026

Why did the scale jump three pounds overnight?

You didn’t gain three pounds of fat at dinner. Here’s what the scale actually weighed this morning, and the fourteen-day rule that keeps it from ruining your week.

Food July 1, 2026

Maintenance calories: your body already ran the experiment

Every online calculator is guessing. Your own logged food against your own trend weight isn’t. How to back out your real number in four weeks.

Scale June 24, 2026

Should you weigh yourself every day?

Yes — and then you should ignore the number. Daily weigh-ins are for the trend, not for you. The difference matters more than it sounds.

Training June 17, 2026

The case against your first barbell back squat

Squats and deadlifts are excellent lifts. They’re also the two places beginners get hurt, and nothing they deliver is magic. What to do instead, and when to graduate.

Long haul June 10, 2026

How long does it actually take to lose 15 pounds?

The honest arithmetic: 0.5–1% of body weight a week, some weeks flat, a plateau or two you should expect on purpose. Plan for months and you’ll beat everyone planning for weeks.

Food June 3, 2026

Weighing your food: a two-week exercise, not a life sentence

A food scale is a calibration tool, not a lifestyle. Two weeks teaches you what your portions actually cost. Then you can mostly put it away.

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Mike
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